Tennessee
W-L: (33-26) PR = 96.6889Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 10- 0 214 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 5- 1 214 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 12- 2 217 H UNC Asheville BSO ( 2- 6, 88.6) 10- 3 220 A Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 4- 0 221 H Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 1- 2 222 H Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 5- 9 224 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 8- 3 227 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 5-12 228 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 5- 3 301 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 3- 1 303 A Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 7- 1 306 A Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 4- 8 307 H Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 5- 4 308 H Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 0- 6 310 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 20- 2 313 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 7- 4 314 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 2- 4 315 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 7- 8 317 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 10- 3 320 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 4- 8 321 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 4- 7 322 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 7- 1 324 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 4- 2 327 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 2- 3 328 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5- 6 329 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 15-16 331 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 13- 4 403 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 5- 7 404 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 4- 1 405 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 6-16 407 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 12- 6 410 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 6-11 411 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 6- 2 412 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 7- 2 414 H UNC Asheville BSO ( 2- 6, 88.6) 11- 1 417 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 4- 7 418 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 1- 8 419 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 13- 5 421 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 14- 4 423 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 8-12 424 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 10- 0 424 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 11- 4 428 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 13- 0 501 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 2- 9 502 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 2-12 503 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 10- 9 505 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 8- 1 508 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 5- 1 509 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 14- 9 510 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 6-13 512 H Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 11- 1 514 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 9- 0 516 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 9-12 519 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 11- 6 520 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 4- 8 529 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 3- 7 530 A VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 4- 5 530 A VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Nicholls 10- 0 10 7 + 2.63
214 H Nicholls 5- 1 4 7 - -3.37
214 H Nicholls 12- 2 10 7 + 2.63
217 H UNC Asheville 10- 3 7 9 -1.76
220 A Toledo 4- 0 4 3 1.26
221 H Kent State 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.23
222 H Kent State 5- 9 -4 2 --- -6.23
224 H Bellarmine 8- 3 5 6 -1.21
227 H UCLA 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.95
228 A Arizona State 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.63
301 H Virginia Tech 3- 1 2 2 -0.07
303 A Eastern Michigan 7- 1 6 7 -0.76
306 A Little Rock 4- 8 -4 2 --- -6.08
307 H Wright State 5- 4 1 3 - -2.24
308 H Wright State 0- 6 -6 3 --- -9.24
310 H Tennessee Tech 20- 2 18 7 +++ 6.62
313 A Georgia 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.93
314 A Georgia 2- 4 -2 -3 0.93
315 A Georgia 7- 8 -1 -3 1.93
317 H Eastern Kentucky 10- 3 7 6 0.85
320 H Missouri 4- 8 -4 3 --- -6.86
321 A Texas 4- 7 -3 -3 0.45
322 H Missouri 7- 1 6 3 + 3.14
324 H South Carolina Upstate 4- 2 2 2 -0.40
327 A Vanderbilt 2- 3 -1 -1 0.11
328 A Vanderbilt 5- 6 -1 -1 0.11
329 A Vanderbilt 15-16 -1 -1 0.11
331 H Austin Peay 13- 4 9 5 ++ 4.40
403 H LSU 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.36
404 H LSU 4- 1 3 0 + 2.64
405 H LSU 6-16 -10 0 --- -10.36
407 H Northern Kentucky 12- 6 6 8 -1.84
410 H Vanderbilt 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.24
411 A Mississippi State 6- 2 4 -3 +++ 7.33
412 A Mississippi State 7- 2 5 -3 +++ 8.33
414 H UNC Asheville 11- 1 10 9 1.24
417 H Ole Miss 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.69
418 H Ole Miss 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.69
419 H Ole Miss 13- 5 8 0 +++ 8.31
421 H Lipscomb 14- 4 10 5 ++ 4.88
423 H Alabama 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.28
424 H Alabama 10- 0 10 0 +++ 9.72
424 H Alabama 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.72
428 H West Georgia 13- 0 13 6 +++ 6.71
501 A Kentucky 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.10
502 A Kentucky 2-12 -10 0 --- -10.10
503 A Kentucky 10- 9 1 0 0.90
505 H Presbyterian 8- 1 7 7 -0.47
508 H Texas 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.10
509 H Texas 14- 9 5 -2 +++ 7.10
510 H Texas 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.90
512 H Belmont 11- 1 10 6 ++ 4.38
514 H South Alabama 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.83
516 A Oklahoma 9-12 -3 -1 -1.95
519 H South Carolina 11- 6 5 3 + 2.19
520 A Arkansas 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.50
529 H East Carolina 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.63
530 A VCU 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.79
530 A VCU 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.79
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Kent State 5- 9 -4 2 --- -6.23 306 A Little Rock 4- 8 -4 2 --- -6.08 308 H Wright State 0- 6 -6 3 --- -9.24 320 H Missouri 4- 8 -4 3 --- -6.86 405 H LSU 6-16 -10 0 --- -10.36 418 H Ole Miss 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.69 501 A Kentucky 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.10 502 A Kentucky 2-12 -10 0 --- -10.10 227 H UCLA 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.95 410 H Vanderbilt 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.24 423 H Alabama 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.28 510 H Texas 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.90 529 H East Carolina 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.63 214 H Nicholls 5- 1 4 7 - -3.37 221 H Kent State 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.23 307 H Wright State 5- 4 1 3 - -2.24 403 H LSU 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.36 417 H Ole Miss 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.69 520 A Arkansas 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.50 530 A VCU 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.79 530 A VCU 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.79 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Tennessee Tech 20- 2 18 7 +++ 6.62 411 A Mississippi State 6- 2 4 -3 +++ 7.33 412 A Mississippi State 7- 2 5 -3 +++ 8.33 419 H Ole Miss 13- 5 8 0 +++ 8.31 424 H Alabama 10- 0 10 0 +++ 9.72 424 H Alabama 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.72 428 H West Georgia 13- 0 13 6 +++ 6.71 508 H Texas 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.10 509 H Texas 14- 9 5 -2 +++ 7.10 514 H South Alabama 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.83 313 A Georgia 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.93 331 H Austin Peay 13- 4 9 5 ++ 4.40 421 H Lipscomb 14- 4 10 5 ++ 4.88 512 H Belmont 11- 1 10 6 ++ 4.38 213 H Nicholls 10- 0 10 7 + 2.63 214 H Nicholls 12- 2 10 7 + 2.63 228 A Arizona State 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.63 322 H Missouri 7- 1 6 3 + 3.14 404 H LSU 4- 1 3 0 + 2.64 519 H South Carolina 11- 6 5 3 + 2.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 10- 0 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.49 7.70
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 5- 1 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.49 7.70
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 12- 2 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.49 7.70
3 H UNC Asheville ( 2- 6, 88.6) 10- 3 -11.30 7.13 -0.68 0.49 6.32
3 A Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 4- 0 -6.63 11.80 0.68 0.49 12.23
3 H Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 1- 2 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.49 -1.33
3 H Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 5- 9 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.49 -1.33
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 8- 3 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.49 8.83
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 5-12 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.49 -0.53
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 5- 3 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.49 16.51
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 3- 1 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.49 12.89
3 A Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 7- 1 -10.65 7.78 0.68 0.49 8.29
3 A Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 4- 8 -5.97 12.46 0.68 0.49 -1.30
3 H Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 5- 4 -5.77 12.65 -0.68 0.49 11.74
3 H Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 0- 6 -5.77 12.65 -0.68 0.49 -1.58
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 20- 2 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.49 7.68
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 7- 4 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.49 17.79
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 2- 4 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.49 -0.07
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 7- 8 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.49 -0.07
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 10- 3 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.49 8.89
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 4- 8 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.49 -1.49
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 4- 7 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.49 -0.06
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 7- 1 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.49 12.11
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 4- 2 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.49 12.57
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 2- 3 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.49 -0.51
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 5- 6 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.49 -0.51
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 15-16 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.49 -0.51
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 13- 4 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.49 10.40
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 5- 7 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.49 -0.87
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 4- 1 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.49 14.57
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 6-16 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.49 -0.87
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 12- 6 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 0.49 7.23
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 6-11 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.49 -0.85
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 6- 2 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.49 18.18
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 7- 2 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.49 18.18
3 H UNC Asheville ( 2- 6, 88.6) 11- 1 -11.30 7.13 -0.68 0.49 6.32
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 4- 7 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.49 -0.71
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 1- 8 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.49 -0.71
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 13- 5 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.49 15.22
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 14- 4 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.49 9.90
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 8-12 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.49 -0.86
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 10- 0 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.49 14.64
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 11- 4 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.49 14.64
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 13- 0 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.49 8.75
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 2- 9 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.49 -0.81
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 2-12 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.49 -0.81
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 10- 9 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.49 14.82
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 8- 1 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.49 7.59
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 5- 1 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.49 16.97
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 14- 9 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.49 16.97
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 6-13 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.49 -0.27
3 H Belmont ( 4-12, 91.7) 11- 1 -8.16 10.27 -0.68 0.49 9.41
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 9- 0 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.49 12.79
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 9-12 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.49 -0.53
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 11- 6 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.49 12.16
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 4- 8 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.49 -0.42
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 3- 7 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.49 -0.94
3 A VCU (10-10, 94.2) 4- 5 -5.68 12.75 0.68 0.49 -1.23
3 A VCU (10-10, 94.2) 4- 5 -5.68 12.75 0.68 0.49 -1.23
------
367.25
|
winning pts = 387.6615 losing points = -20.4136
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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